Central Rand Gold - Re: CRND Stream Log - Re: SP if deal fails....

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15:45 05/08/2015

Re: SP if deal fails. I’m out as the risk now exceeds the reward. RISK: Price when Restone dilute will halve. Price when deal falls through will halve again. Market confidence will take it down further. 2p to3p. At which point Redstone owning 53% of the stock could buy the remainder for £4-£6 m, and do a private sale of the asset and pocket the lot. REWARD: Even at the full £96m I reckon the NAV per share not to exceed 33p, however, the market never pays 100pence in the pound for balance sheet cash so do your own discount. The deal only has to reduce to £70m and shareholder value comes down to 15pence. I jumped in before doing enough research. Why do discussion members not reveal the elephant in the room. In this case multiple elephants: Share Issue rising from 95 to 180m, Negative equity on the balance sheet and evaporating current assets with a sale, and monthly cash burn since December, all add up to there being no solvent business here. A sale is a must, it is just a question of who will get the proceeds. Finally for those who think a JV would be OK the Company has turned £260m of shareholders cash into minus £14m on the balance sheet- why do you think their future performance will improve? Good Luck to all braver than me to see this one through, I hope you catch the spike, not a cold.

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