wakey wakey maybe After a good results update, a very solid production update and the prices they're getting are now seemingly sustainably decent to good. I've been very patient with this - who hasn't.. it has been a 'journey' - and I have pretty high hopes for this over the next 15 months.. breaking 350p would be a good start but a start only in my mind....I'm looking for 500p here in the coming 3 to 6 momths.. Here's hoping (but tricky as ever and DYOR of course)
update seems +ve can anyone see any flaws?
Re: Davy report info o/s Still hoping for Davy conclusions guys and gals?
The journey begins Google kmr 4 traders and have a read of the analysis tab, or financials.....all bodes well.
Davy report info o/s Has anyone got the Davy conclusions which will be interesting in the light of the recent rise?CheersR2
Positive coverage [link] one of ten stocks identified as offering good investment prospects, something we have known for some time. Articles like this will help to build momentum.
Re: SMALLCAP World Fund, Interesting the first reduction and threshold crossed by the world fund was on 12 June. They clearly have been trying to offload shares since then but are unwilling to sell under £2.40 and been selling in small chunks. They are only required to announce when they cross a threshold hence only 3 announcements the 9, 8 and 7% barriers crossed. I wondered why the shares have traded in this band for the last 3 months, my question has been answered! Once the exercise by world fund to reduce exposure has been completed it will be interesting to see how the share price responds.
Re: SMALLCAP World Fund, We probably did, anytime between 29th and about 10 days ago when volumes spiked. The threshold was crossed on 29th but that does not mean they sold all the shares on that day....they could have have left themselves 10 shares above the threshold for all we know, then sold the last little bit on 29th.
SMALLCAP World Fund, if SMALLCAP World Fund has disposed of 1.6m shares (see news) I wonder why have we not seen them as trades?Any informed comment would be much appreciated R
Re: Davy I would describe results as good more than very good ... ebitda was 5 to 10m less than I was hoping for ..the fact they have good prices already contracted for half 2 is encouraging though..Obviously spot ilmentite price will ongoingly have a meaningful impact on s/p too.. I had previously hoped that this would test 500p in 2017.. I see little chance of that now.. and think 350-400p would be a good to very good outcome by end 2017.. and a decent outcome would be north of 300p .. and average outcome north of 275p... and poor around 250p and bad around 225p....
Re: Volume Scratch that, EIB have 8 million shares if website is up to date, so a way to go. Could also be Capital as they seem keen to reduce their holding back down to pre fundraising level. Either way good to reduce overhang.
Volume If those big trades are EIB offloading their debt for equity stake then this is good news.....they must be almost done.
Re: Motley Fool I believe two categories of private shareholder, pre and post refinancing, pre basically wiped out regardless of the recent stability etc, post will have very different views but no chance of significant influenceanyone care to differ with any evidence or numbersR22
Re: Motley Fool I agree there is good turnaround potential with solid EBITDA numbers. I have been surprised that for the last 3 months the stock has traded within the £2.40 to £2.70 range. More stable than I can remember for years, there seems to be a floor where people are unwilling to sell below. To me I think the refinancing has left people with more exposure than they would like and people are slowly de-risking happy to have made 5-10% in a year. Until more people buy into the recovery story I think until we are in this trading range for a while (or until those wanting to reduce their positions start to fade away). FY numbers may be the catalyst unless there is a positive or negative news story first!
Motley Fool ....are positive too, massive turnaround potential etc. This might be a slow burn until the news gets out. Judging by this board, I think a lot of us have given up all hope and I am talking to myself. Will take a long while for momentum to build but I think still good value provided that product prices remain firm as forecasted.