Refinanced business with new management team; net cash position at year end (no net debt); increased turnover by 26%; very low 2023 price/earnings (approx p/e of 2). An incredible buying opportunity according to Peel Hunt. Government spending is main source of income - more secure in recessionary environment.
Imminent recession in the UK; sterling near historic lows - all imported product more expensive, squeezing profits for DC; ex-chairman and founder has sold a quarter of his holding recently; big pension deficit; as far as I can see, practically no cash - the business seems to be operating on cashflow which relies on suppliers waiting a long time to be paid; increasing online competition; a massive and costly bricks&mortar estate; a huge workforce creating high operational costs; very few customers in the shops whenever I've visited; warning from the management of 'more pain' to come due to the change in smartphone purchasing dynamics. From what I can see, there are almost no positives for DC; an outdated business model with huge legacy costs.
New CEO with rationalisation plan; debt is reducing; sale of part of the business (Kier Living) announced; share price has bottomed out due to hedge-fund shorting overshooting the price target -- currently valued at approx one year's earnings and should be 5 or 6 times this value.